Monday, September 22, 2014

Investing facts

Read a good article on investing.. Some interesting facts about investing I thought of sharing it. 

  1. Nine out of 10 people in finance don’t have your best interest at heart.
  2. Don’t try to predict the future.
  3. Saving can be more important than investing.
  4. Tune out the majority of news.
  5. Emotional intelligence is more important than classroom intelligence.
  6. Talk about your money.
  7. Most financial problems are caused by debt.
  8. Forget about past performance.
  9. The perfect investment doesn't exist.
Source: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/article/20140908024516-27188565-investing-facts?trk=hb_ntf_MEGAPHONE_ARTICLE_POST

Saturday, September 6, 2014

Aro Granite Industries

Construction material sector is one of the fastest growing with >20% yoy, of which granite is one of the premium construction & sculpture making material. India's total trade value for FY'13 is around $2 billion dollars of which only $600 million dollars worth of granite products is exported to foreign countries. This export segment is growing 20% yoy with a strong demand for South Indian granite in foreign countries.


Aro Granite Industry is a Hosur based company which is just 35 kms away from the granite hub of India Bangalore. It is currently   trading  at a cheap valuation in comparison with its competitors, with a  PE value just less than 4. Its current market cap is <90cr which is just 1/3rd of its previous year sales(254cr).



Aro granite Industries : Manufacturer of Granite Slabs & Titles is promoted by Sunil K Arora who has 27 years of experience in this business, it is an 100% export oriented company suited in Hosur, Tamil Nadu( has high granite reserves and quality granites in the world). It has state of art high quality manufacturing unit in Hosur which produces 3.6lac sq.mtrs granite tiles per annum and 3.9lac sq.mtrs granite slabs per annum. It has received ISO 9001:2008 certification from "TUV NORD", from Germany for quality management services.

It is a premium supplier of Indian granite to over 45 countries and it prime clientele are the USA, Canada, Europe, Japan, Far East and south pacific countries.

Aro granite Industries have consistently exported its products to 45 countries for 3 years in a row and are still exploring untapped markets. Due to is aggressive sales strategy in FY'13 its sales have increased over 15% in 21 countries which it exports. Leading the way is a 33% increase in the sales in North America, 3 times or 314% sales in Libya, which is an emerging market, a 50% increase in Germany and have doubled the sales in Poland, Italy and Japan. This increase in sales helped to achieve 34.15% increase in turnover clocking to ~Rs.254 crores in FY'13 and increase in pre tax profit of 28.57 crores which is 11.19% higher in comparison to FY'12.




It is the one of the best managed company in the granite slab & tiles manufacturing sector, Following are the contributing factors:
  1. Consistent increase in revenue for past five years, i.e 90% increase in its sales from FY'10.
  2. Consistent increase in net profit for past 3 years, which as doubled its EPS to Rs:17.11 from Rs:8.61.
  3. Paying 10% dividend consistently for past five years. 
Currently the procurement cost of granite slabs has increased considerably due to the import of granite from other countries like Brasil, Norway, Finland & Africa and the trading is in Dollar & euro. This is due to the high restrictions of the granite mining imposed by TN government(granite mining scam). However, even-though it imports granite from other countries its OPM:15.46% & NPM:8.39% which is one of the highest among its peers. In future its NPM & OPM are likely improve once it procures granite from its region itself.

With the revival of economy on the global scale especially Europe, North America & Japan where aro garnite has strong foot print and with the stabilization of Indian currency against dollar & Euro. Aro granite Industry is a strong buy at the CMP:Rs-57.35/-.  


    

Friday, March 21, 2014

RBI's Inflation indexed Bonds: Not so attractive

Inflation Indexed Bonds: 

Security which gives guaranteed higher rate of return than the average rate of inflation, which is one risk free investment product were we can beat the rising inflation rate. 

GOI(Government of India) is offering one such Inflation indexed bonds based out of CPI(consumer price index) rate. 

We can apply for this bond before 31st march 2014 through SBI, Nationalised banks, ICICI, HDFC Bank, Axis bank and SHICL.  

Overview of the Bond: 
  • Minimum investment of Rs.5000 and up-to Rs.5,00,000.
  • Tenor of Bond: 10 year, however early redemption is available for senior citizen after 1years and after 3 years for all others.
  • Rate of Interest we will be getting for 1 year investment period: Base rate of 1.5% + Inflation rate of combined consumer priced index (compounded half-early).
    • For example, if the average CPI is around 10% for FY'15, then the annual return we get is 11.5%(CPI + Base rate).
Note: GOI reverses the right to close the investment early.

Some of the Key Highlights of this Bond:
  1. Security can be pledged as a collateral for taking loans
  2. Can nominee one or more persons including NRIs
Who can apply for this bonds ?

Individuals which includes NRIs, retail investors, HNI's, HUFs; also charitable institutions and universities are eligible to apply.

Things use should know before buying this bond: 
  • Average CPI rate trend for past 5 years, 
    • 2014 - 7.24%, 2013 - 10.92%, 2012 - 9.3%, 2011 - 8.87%, 2010 - 12.11%, 2009 - 10.83
From the above value the average rate of return of the CPI linked bond for past 5years is around 10.02% (which includes the base rate as well).  

Average rate of interest we get from this bond is slightly above the fixed deposit which is only locked for one year only, whereas in case of this bond the maturity period is more than 10 years. 
  • Also Urijit Patel committee(Formed by RBI to fight against Inflation) targets to reduce CPI rate to 6% in 24months, the committee proposed plans to tame against inflation. So what if the average value of CPI comes down as expected ?. 
In my opinion this bond is really unattractive even after RBI arise the base rate from 1% to 1.5%. Its always good to make wise investment decision by spending some time on analysis, I would like to rate 2.5 out of 5 for this bond. 

Sources: RBI, Economies times. 

Happy Investing!



Tuesday, March 18, 2014

New ETF under RGESS tax benefit- high risk high return model


CPSE ETF:  CPSE is nothing but Central Public sector Enterprise such ongc,sbi,gail,etc.. , is an ETF which suits for long term investors, where new retail investors can claims tax benefit under RGESS(50% tax claim)  upto Rs:50,000 i.e if you invest 10k you can claim for 5K tax benefit. And the minimum lock-in period is 1 year, but we can extend the tax benefit for additional 2 more years. 

Goldman Sachs, which got the mandate from the Government of India for marketing the CPSE ETF, has announced the details of the NFO(New fund offer) that is opening for subscription for Anchor Investment on 18.03.14 and for Non-Anchor investors from 19.03.14 to 21.03.14. 

Please click here for official ad.

What is CPSE ETF?

CPSE ETF is a unique opportunity for investors to invest in 10 Maharatnas, Navratnas and Miniratnas at a discount of 5% on the “Reference Market Price” of the underlying shares of CPSE Index, which will be offered to the CPSE ETF by the Government of India. 

This is one of the novel disinvestment way initiated by  GOI to generate 3000cr, thereby it achieves the revised disinvestment target of 16000cr for FY'14.  

Basket of Companies which comes under CPSE index: 


Company Name  Sector % Weightage
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Ltd. Energy 26.72
GAIL (India) Ltd. Energy 18.48
Coal India Ltd. Metals 17.75
Rural Electrification Corporation Ltd. Financial Services 7.16
Oil India Ltd. Energy 7.04
Indian Oil Corporation Ltd. Energy 6.82
Power Finance Corporation Ltd. Financial Services 6.49
Container Corporation of India Ltd. Services 6.4
Bharat Electronics Ltd. Industrial Manufacturing 2
Engineers India Ltd. Construction 1.13

Advantage of investing in CPSE ETF:

1. Offers Tax Benefits as the Scheme is in compliance with the provisions of Rajiv Gandhi Equity Savings Scheme, 2013 (‘RGESS’). 
2. We get the CPSE ETF at 5% discount rate( refrence market price).
3. CPSE index had a PE ratio of 10.52 and dividend yield of 3.51%.
4. One Loyalty unit will be awarded for every 15 units hold by retail investor for more than 1 year. 
5. provides consistent dividend every year.

Comparison b/w other ETF's
* as on feb28

How to buy CPSE ETF: 
  • Need to have DP(Depository Account) to subscribe for this NFO. 
  • and we can apply via equity brokerage house like karvay,Geojit,etc.

Other advantage: 

Good time to invest in Central public limited companies at this point of time, Since more than 55% amount of fund money will be spend on sector which is turning around with stable oil price and less loss making due high diesel price. Also due to is cheaper valuations book value of the CPSE index is only 1.8 and PE ratio is only 9.8. And apart from this it pays attractive dividend y-o-y with good dividend yeild at 3.77% which is one of the index which yields high returns in comparison to other ETF's in the table above.  


Happy investing !



Friday, February 21, 2014

Books on value investing

When it comes to stock market countless books are there to read about it. But it definitely eats up your life time in reading countless books. Generally are four kinds of books out there which deals with value investing, technical analysis, trading psychology and books about famous traders.

Following are some of the books which are wildly read and recommend by fund managers,

Value Investing

1. Intelligent investor by Benjamin Graham

A widely acclaimed book on value investing, an investment approach Graham began teaching at Columbia Business School in 1928 and subsequently refined with David Dodd. Famous investor Warren Buffett described it as "by far the best book on investing ever written". By reading this one, we will get to know to choose between different pools of companies out there in different sectors.

We will understand some of key simple things to evaluate an company and we will become effective in building our own portfolio without anyone influence, end of the chapter a common man(juntaa) will get to know stock market is all about value not a place for gamblers. 

Famous Quote: "Price is what you pay. Value is what you get."

you can buy this from flipkart, click here


To read online for free of cost, click here


2. Security Analysis by Benjamin Graham


If you want evaluate a company on fundamental basis this is the book for you. Its once again widely read book in financial circle written by Benjamin Graham & David Dodd. 

By reading this book we get to know, how to determine the intrinsic value of the company based on its financial statement. This helps to purchase a stock when it is cheaper and reap satisfactory returns based upon Graham's margin of safety principles. 

Famous Quote: "It is absurd to think that the general public can ever make money out of market forecasts."

you can buy this from flipkart, click here


3. One Up on the wallstreet by Peter Lynch


Peter Lynch is one of the highly acclaimed, most successful fund manager wall street seen in history. He is insanely consistent managing successful mutual fund portfolios over decades. He is the guy who helped middle class to improve their life style and made after retirement a blissful life. His portfolio grew from 20million USD to 19billion USD in 13 years with 29% yoy annual average return.


This book summarises his whole decades of experience in managing portfolios and identifying value stocks based out of common sense and simple principles. 


He picks good companies on what he knows and struck with his own principles by acting deaf to the market noises, he followed bottom up approach in fundamental analysis of stock. 


Famous Quote: "Go for a business that any idiot can run – because sooner or later, any idiot is probably going to run it."


you can buy this from flipkart, click here


In coming blogs will update on books for Technical analysis, trading psychology and books about famous traders.


Happy Investing!